Okay, I choose to argue against the hard determinists itt.
Free will isn't unaffected by causality. It fits in the causal chain. The causal chain up to now affects my will, which affects my actions, which affects the further causal chain.
I consciously choose what to do, based on the causal chain. Science hasn't and perhaps can't give a good account for consciousness.
Causality itself is magic. To use Think's example, you drop a pen, and watch it fall. You say the dropping causes the falling, but you can't actually observe the causal relation between the two. There's only dropping and falling, no causing to be seen. It's not in the bar of soap. It's not in the air. It's not physical.
Even worse, scientists have to take a leap of faith to say that every time you drop some object in such-and-such conditions, it will fall. There's no way to verify that this purported causal relation is universal. If human understanding of the universe rests of causality, then that understanding rests on faith magic.
The example doesn't work with gravitons or any other reduced explanation either. Even if we observe gravitons moving around, we can't observe their causing the pen to fall.
No. As far as I'm aware, we can only predict probabilistically. There's no evidence to think there are laws that predict events exactly.
This doesn't follow. Even if everything I am right now is what my past has determined, what I do next is related, but not certain. One would agree with your claim here only if they already reject free will. My personality, beliefs, composition—what I am—aren't the only things that determine what I do. The will is missing.
Of course I can't suddenly believe in Islam right now. That fact is irrelevant since saying what I can't do doesn't restrict what I can do. I know that if I start studying Islam, I will then be able to believe in it should I choose.
Are these analogous to what you're saying? 1. When I kill myself, I retain my free will. It's just expressed... in one moment. 2. When I inject myself to become a vegetable, I retain my free will. It's just expressed in one moment.
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