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The year: 2029
The size estimation: 270 meters
If this asteroid passes through what is considered a gravitational keyhole then in the year 2036 an impact with Earth is on the odds of 1 in 45,000.
In this thread you consider what to do to a) deflect said asteroid or b)prepare for impact.
I'll take 1 in 45,000.
Let's assume the earth is at 23,571.
Here's some random numbers:
2,194
39,248
30,036
3,999
28,565
i think we might be okay
I would smoke so much that I'd get so high i wouldn't recognize the fire burning in your eyes
You human beings have had it too good for too long! It's about damn time for something like this to happen so me and the rest of the mole men can rise up and claim what is rightfully ours!
I say we send Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck to blow the mother fucker up.
I'll just do what I always do and hide behind jupiter.
I'll just do what I always do and hide behind Dai Tengu.
You don't want to die a virgin do you?
i thought iw as the only one who still listened to maroon 5Quote:
Originally Posted by coqauvin
Well humanity is going to come to an end in 2012 so it doesn't matter.
I will do precisley what I did on 9/11 - Not give a shit because I am not dead and I have internet and TV to keep me busy.
Is 2029 the year when the asteroid may or may not pass through this gravitational keyhole?Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOriginalGrumpySpy
Also, what kind of impact would an asteroid of 270 meters create? I NEED TO KNOW.
It would make a hole approximately 270 meters across
lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Atmosfear
That's not how science works :mad:Quote:
Originally Posted by Atmosfear
Since when are you a scientist?Quote:
Originally Posted by KT.
If the world is going to end, hopefully it's something definite that we have no hopes of stopping and we only find out about it like a half hour before it happens.
Yes, 2029 is the keyhole year and then 2039 is the possible impact year.
Some trajectories would place the impact off the coast of California. The results of which of course would be devastating, for much of the west coast not to mention the east Asia... oh and the possibility of impact winter.
By 2036 it is very likely that we would be able to prevent an impact, in the instance that such an event proved likely.
Current ideas are gravitational traction, nuclear impact and like changing momentum.Quote:
Originally Posted by Shinysides
Yeah, we actually have enough theoretically sound ideas that the chances of an actual impact are much greater than 1 in 45,000. Can't forget about the human factor.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOriginalGrumpySpy
I'm going to take the world in a love embrace
fire all of the guns at once and explode into space
Haha...Steppenwolf. Now we're talkin'.Quote:
Originally Posted by coqauvin
Send Rosie O' Donnell into outer space and her gravitational pull will alter the course of Apophis into an orbit around her.
Assuming an impact velocity of ~12 km/s (pretty typical), you'd get a ~500 megaton blast (equivalent to 500 million tons of TNT, or 25,000 Hiroshima bombs) and a crater several miles across (assuming a land impact). For reference, a 200 megaton explosion (Krakatoa eruption in 1883) messed up the global climate for several years.Quote:
Originally Posted by KT.
You write a lot like Exodite Prime.
sounds like xenu's going to make a comeback
already called itQuote:
Originally Posted by MrShrike
I am he.Quote:
Originally Posted by MrShrike
Prove it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Syme
I want a three post long autobiographical piece of art.
Leave ben affleck up there this timeQuote:
Originally Posted by Pepsi
Coincidence that this just so happens to be the name of a System Lord in Stargate SG-1?
I think not.
If anyone's interested, it's actually named after [ame="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apep"]Apep - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia@@AMEPARAM@@/wiki/File:Apep_1.jpg" class="image"><img alt="" src="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a7/Apep_1.jpg/220px-Apep_1.jpg"@@AMEPARAM@@en/thumb/a/a7/Apep_1.jpg/220px-Apep_1.jpg[/ame], an Egyptian snake-demon who was regarded as a pretty undesirable character.
I thought Apophis was just an architect?
EDIT:
also, this is old news.
EDIT:
but it still turns me on
I'll probably make a post about it.
2039 eh? Ok, so I'd be 52? Fuck that, I won't be around that long. It's my (lack of) children's problem.
phew i am glad that only you have that opinionQuote:
Originally Posted by simonj
and so the rest of us can get along ensuring the survival of our progeny O WAIT
Well good luck to the rest of you.
I'm sure a forum-load of bored, lazy nerds will do a great job at figuring out how to save the world in 30 years from the very remote threat of an asteroid.
In fact, if I can help in any way at all...
Remote is an understatement.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOriginalGrumpySpy
I'd call 1 in 45,000 remote anyway, not taking into account the fact that it may not pass through what is considered a gravitational keyhole.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOriginalGrumpySpy
People play the lottery on worse odds.
Yeah, but the fact is, somebody is going to win the lottery, you may as well throw your buck into the hat (if you play more than once a week you're a retard who shouldn't be allowed an income). You have the same chance as everyone else.
Fixed.Quote:
Originally Posted by simonj
The lottery is not a sound investment.
Tell that to the people who've won. You can go on about odds all you want but people do win the fuckin' thing. I wouldn't call it a 'sound investment' either, but then again, I don't (very occasionally) play the thing to make a return on my £1 coin. I play on the off chance I can retire before I turn 22.Quote:
Originally Posted by LargeDuck
I won the lottery and invested heavily in northern rock
post niel, I can use my winnings and a small loan to just about buy LWS
Yea except anyone who plays the lottery is a fool.Quote:
Originally Posted by simonj
Fair enough, but the people who win are fools with a lot of money.Quote:
Originally Posted by Killuminati
It's not like I need the money I use to play the lottery (which I hardly play anyway). It's not like it could be spent any better either. Let's say I spend £20 a year on the lottery (which is a stretch), what would that get me that would be more productive?
A lesson in probability theory
I understand probability perfectly well. You, on the other hand, don't seem to. This isn't like the chances of an asteroid hitting the earth because that either does happen or doesn't. Somebody does win the lottery. Pretty much every week.
OK, I'm falling on my ass here. I'm not concentrating, I apologise. I'll think of a better response later when I'm less pre-occupied.
Where you're going wrong here is that it's not of much personal financial use to you that someone wins the lottery.
Unless you manage a bank exclusively for people who take part in the lottery (ok, I am trademarking this bank right now) your odds are the important ones, and they are tiny.
It's of huge personal financial use to me if that someone is me (and, technically my ticket has the same, albeit remote, chance as any other ticket).
Where you're going wrong is that you seem to think I look at this as an investment when really it's nothing more than light gambling that isn't going to get my legs broken outside a casino or get my material possessions repossessed.
Gambling is for chumps.
Cast Magic Missile
Thanks for adding reputation to this user. May you be lucky enough to receive the same Reputation back in turn.Quote:
Originally Posted by Nermy2k
For some reason I am not worried about this in any way.
We'll see how I feel in twenty years
Keep playing I'm sure you will win sometime.Quote:
Originally Posted by simonj
(by win of course I mean continue to waste your money)
this made me smileQuote:
Originally Posted by no_brains_no_worries
When we take over, I'll consider capturing you instead of killing you like the rest of mankind. Once enslaved you can be a gladiator, a street sweeper, or have your own habitat in our zoo.Quote:
Originally Posted by captain castle
Choose wisely.
Took the joke too farQuote:
Originally Posted by no_brains_no_worries
Hey, it's not a joke until relentlessly beaten into the ground by yours truly.Quote:
Originally Posted by captain castle