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    windmills of your mind Think's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    The problem I'm having with this discussion is the assumption that everything is pre-determined from the very beginning, and that probability is seen as negating choice. Using Think's post here, it's pretty clear that the idea itself seems derived from the idea of God (or some other omnipotent/omniscient being/presence).
    No, you said that you knew of deterministically-inclined Christians. I was describing the religious frame in which their analogous concept of "predestination" functions. Determinism or fatalism absolutely do not require an omniscient being (although positing their existence can aid understanding, as in the thought experiment of Laplace's demon)

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    I also find your logic of God problematic in and of itself; if He (capitalized to keep with the common tradition of Christians) already determined that you would go to Heaven or Hell, then why have us exist? Why then implant the idea that free will exists, from the beginning (as the Bible would have you believe)?
    Once again, not my beliefs, just some common Christian ideas and how they back the notion of predestination.


    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    Also, if everything (as you say) is already pre-determined by either some mathematical equation or some god (in this case, the christian version), then why does probability exist at all? Further, why should we condemn a criminal for committing a crime if he was predestined to commit it from the very moment of his conception or-as some have stated-from the big bang itself?
    You're missing the point of probability. Except in quantum physics, where it at least seems that we can only know things probabilistically, the point of probability in science is not that cause and effect relationships do not exist, it's that we cannot know every factor involved in them. I.E. if we knew (as Gwahir stated,) the force with which we flipped a coin, the wind speeds at the time, air pressure, and all the other tiny conditions, we could absolutely say what way up the coin lands. As it is, we do not measure all of these factors (it's totally impractical!), so probability theory allows us to make simple predictions based on our limited knowledge of factors. It's not that the end result isn't accurate and definite, it's that we don't know the factors to determine what it is.
    As Mutton stated, the determinist answer to the criminal problem is that as the criminal is nothing but what's formed him( just like the rest of us), it doesn't excuse him from what he did. In order for society to function, we have to continue to expound the philosophy of personal responsibility, even though people are just the products of the factors that made them.

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    To my knowledge, this entire "predetermination" theory depends on the idea that something has already decided that--which would force one to believe that God/s or some underlying magic that exists within everything to keep it in line with the previous determinations.
    No, pens don't fall to the floor because someone's decided they will, they fall because of eternal and immutable laws that govern the universe. Like I said, it's easier to make sense of determinism by hypothesising some omniscient being, but that being is totally unnecessary. It's just that the universe works in a mechanical way (no one seems to disagree with this) so that a comet headed towards earth continues to head there, a sparked lighter with gas in it makes fire etc. etc. All predictable causes and effects. All that determinists point out that makes it so difficult for people to accept is that human beings are not exempt from these laws.

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    From a psychological perspective, yes, I agree that personality is composed of experience and environmental factors. However, this is an area where input by the individual is required; the individual also can and sometimes will shape his/her environment in meaningful ways.
    But if you accept that people are shaped by these laws, then the inputs they give are determined by the factors that made them. See Bandura's Reciprocal Determinism if it makes it clearer. Sure people can make an impact on their environment, but this impact is decided by what they do, which is decided by what they choose to do, which is decided by their personality, which is preprogrammed into them by external factors. In turn, what they do changes others, which makes those others behave in a certain manner. You see?

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    In a famous scientific study (the Milgram experiment), subjects were asked to deliver higher and higher amounts of electrical shocks to another person (perceived real volts) as part of a supposed "teaching" experience to the 'learning' confederate. Most people went up to the highest voltage. Note the usage of the word "most"; not all of them did, despite the idea that people will act predictably when given these scenarios. The psychologist who described the method for Operant Conditioning theorized that if he put a child in a box, and only allowed the child to know what he taught him/her, then he could control every single behavior that child had... is this something that you agree with?
    The Milgram experiment, like all psychological studies, did not see everyone doing the same thing because of individual differences. If we knew every factor that affected a person from their birth to the experiment, and what all of these factors did to someone, then we would absolutely be able to say what they would do. The fact that most people were affected by the small number of factors the experimenter could control is to me evidence for fatalism, not against it.
    Ok, the psychologist you're describing was a behaviourist, which is the most vulgar expression of determinism found in psychological study. Don't get me wrong, I think that behaviourism is right on the money with it's precepts that ultimately everything is about behaviour (i.e. interaction and learning), but the approach itself is limited because it can't know everything a person has ever experienced, making it ineffective on a grand scale, and it's idea that everything is classical or operant conditioning is way too reductionist. To see how behaviourism has been refined to accommodate vicarious learning, reciprocal determinism, and other more nuanced ways humans work, see "Neo-behaviorism", the brainchild of Bandura.

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    Again, the entire argument for predetermination hinges on the idea of God's existence or that of a mathematical formula deciding every single speck of dust's future--and neither of these work within the grounds of logical reasoning.
    Well, I hope I've shown you that that's not true.

    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Free will isn't unaffected by causality. It fits in the causal chain. The causal chain up to now affects my will, which affects my actions, which affects the further causal chain.
    sounds like reciprocal determinism

    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    I consciously choose what to do, based on the causal chain. Science hasn't and perhaps can't give a good account for consciousness.
    Sure, you decide. However, the thing you call "you" is essentially just a black box with inputs and outputs streaming either way. No disagreement that you're so complex that to all intents and purposes it appears as consciousness and free will, but in the most ultimate scale, science seems to indicate that it'll be determined. It remains to be seen whether science can solve the intricacies of the human mind. Psychology's still a comparatively young science. We don't even really have a paradigm yet, let alone know our limits.



    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Causality itself is magic. To use Think's example, you drop a pen, and watch it fall. You say the dropping causes the falling, but you can't actually observe the causal relation between the two. There's only dropping and falling, no causing to be seen. It's not in the bar of soap. It's not in the air. It's not physical.
    This is interesting. The way theories work is that every time they're confirmed we continue to use them. If they break just once, we have to rework the theory. I think perhaps we can afford to treat causality in this way (obviously it's failed at a quantum level). This is quite odd coming from me, but I guess there is such a thing as vulgar materialism. Just because causality isn't physical doesn't necessarily mean it has no place in science.

    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Even worse, scientists have to take a leap of faith to say that every time you drop some object in such-and-such conditions, it will fall. There's no way to verify that this purported causal relation is universal. If human understanding of the universe rests of causality, then that understanding rests on faith magic.
    Again, I think you've got to see it the way that I described above. There's a definite distinction between that and faith as you'll find it in spiritualist circles.

    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Even if everything I am right now is what my past has determined, what I do next is related, but not certain. One would agree with your claim here only if they already reject free will. My personality, beliefs, composition—what I am—aren't the only things that determine what I do. The will is missing.
    You're going to have to operationalise the will if you want to continue talking about it. It sounds too metaphysical and vague for me to debate it otherwise.



    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Of course I can't suddenly believe in Islam right now. That fact is irrelevant since saying what I can't do doesn't restrict what I can do. I know that if I start studying Islam, I will then be able to believe in it should I choose.
    Ah, but saying what can't be done was the only tool I had at the time to help describe fatalist thinking. If you point out someone can't know something they haven't learned (e.g. Chinese), then extend to the point that they can't change a fundamental part of their character instantaneously (e.g. their religious beliefs), then you can creep up to the point that what they want to do follows just as naturally from every condition that preceded it. It was an explanatory device. And you know that I'm going to say that if you go studying Islam, that's because of the interactions and conditions imposed on you at that point and before.



    Quote Originally Posted by mutton View Post
    Are these analogous to what you're saying? 1. When I kill myself, I retain my free will. It's just expressed... in one moment. 2. When I inject myself to become a vegetable, I retain my free will. It's just expressed in one moment.
    The first, I think, should free will exist, would be it's ultimate expression. The right to stop choosing, to stop being, is the ultimate right and decision. The second, by contrast, is reductio ad absurdum.

    Quote Originally Posted by StonedOne View Post
    Here's some logic (and lets be clear: I'm saying that the christian god cannot exist as defined by common christian belief within the bounds of logic).

    Problem of Omnipotence: If God is omnipotent, he could create something even He couldn't solve or do. But if he couldn't, he was never omnipotent in the first place.

    Problem from Free Will: God is a personal being, and personal beings are said to have free will. But if God knows everything, he already knows his decisions, so he doesn't have free will. So, he can't be all-knowing if he is to be a personal being, and therefore cannot exist.

    A benevolent all-knowing being only has one option in any situation, and that is the option that causes most good. Therefore a perfectly good all-knowing God has no free will. An all-knowing god instantly knows all of its future actions and therefore has no free will to change them. A god with no free will is not moral. If an all-powerful and all-knowing God exists then this (by a long chain of cause and effect) denies any free will of any living being. If God has free will, but never chooses evil, it is immoral because it could have created life in the same way: With free will, but also never choosing evil. Therefore God must be immoral, not all-powerful or not all-knowing.

    Existence is a relatively simple concept -- it is defined as that which consists of either matter or energy. Therefore if a god exists, it must be composed of either matter or energy. If I argue that something exists, but then claim there is no way to detect it, my argument contradicts itself. Let's say I tell a deaf man that I hear a deep, loud sound coming from a speaker. If he lays his hand on it and feels no vibrations, he has every right to be skeptical. If I say that this loud sound does not have vibrations, he may then pull out his trusty microphone or other sound wave detector. If this instrument detects no sound in the vicinity, can I still tell him that this loud sound is occurring? At some point, if my definition of "loud sound" basically boils down to "that which is the opposite of any evidence that a loud sound is occurring," then clearly my approach to truth needs a little work.
    Yeah yeah no one here has religious sympathies and even if they did these too tired arguments wouldn't change anything.
    Last edited by Think; 04-06-2009 at 10:35 AM.

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